How
you can read the forecasting Tables and Graphics? For instance, you pick the
company XYZ and press "FORECAST". What you will see on the screen and how you
can interpret the results.
As a result you receive a table which contains predicted data in a specified
interval. There are seven columns, including the prediction date and predicted
values of the open, close, low, and high price. In addition each table contains
on "Average" column which is the predicted average price for the day:
(Open + Close + Low + High) / 4 and "Vector" column. Each raw show
quote: "OPEN, CLOSE, LOW, HIGH, AVERAGE and Vector" accordingly with
day (week or month) of the forecasting. The last row shows ACCURACY for open,
close, low and average quotes.
Vector’s column calculates change of Forecasting Average Price relatively to
"today" actual price. This column shows expected average price
movement "Up or Down", in percents. The column’s forecast can
estimate of your "Chance of Gains" (making money) or "Chance of Trouble" (loss)
over each of the target price timeframes for 10 days, 2, or 6 months of
predictions.
Strategy Column. Buy, Hold or Sell decision is based on
mathematically predicted turning points (relative minimum or maximum value of
stock quotes vs. time).
You will see a graph where the actual quotes for the last 10
days, starting from today, will be in BLUE color, predicted quotes
for the same 10 historical days in BROWN and the forecasting quotes
for the next, starting from today, 10 days in RED color.
Every single day on the graphic shows: open, close, low and high quotes. The
HIGH value is the maximum point on the vertical line. The LOW value is the
minimum point. The CLOSE and OPEN value is shown on the graph in vertical
rectangle. If it's shaded then the OPEN price is higher then CLOSING.
On the other hand, if it's not shaded then the CLOSING price is higher
then the OPENING price.
The visual comparison between the actual (blue) and predicted (brown) quotes for
the 10 last days beginning from today can ensure the accuracy of forecasting.
For example. Forecasted data. MSFT:
(Note: The results below are only a DEMO!)
1. If you click "Daily (10 days prediction)"
Each next row corresponds to one day ahead plus. For example: 03/08/2005 + 1
means Wednesday, March 9; 03/08/2005 + 2 means Thursday, March 10 and … up to
03.02.2005 + 10 means Tuesday, March 22.
Date 
Open 
Close 
Low 
High 
Average 
Vector^{**} 
Strategy^{***} 
3/8/2005 + 1 
25.34 
25.43 
25.29 
25.66 
25.43 
0.04% 
Buy

3/8/2005 + 2 
25.52 
25.63 
25.32 
25.70 
25.54 
+0.40% 
Hold 
3/8/2005 + 3 
25.53 
25.69 
25.32 
25.75 
25.57 
+0.53% 
Sell 
3/8/2005 + 4 
25.56 
25.62 
25.46 
25.74 
25.59 
+0.59% 
Hold 
3/8/2005 + 5 
25.53 
25.56 
25.39 
25.89 
25.60 
+0.61% 
Hold 
3/8/2005 + 6 
25.51 
25.58 
25.34 
25.88 
25.58 
+0.54% 
Hold 
3/8/2005 + 7 
25.46 
25.52 
25.25 
25.88 
25.53 
+0.34% 
Buy

3/8/2005 + 8 
25.52 
25.59 
25.27 
25.89 
25.56 
+0.49% 
Sell 
3/8/2005 + 9 
25.55 
25.41 
25.25 
25.87 
25.52 
+0.31% 
Hold 
3/8/2005 + 10 
25.49 
25.44 
25.14 
25.76 
25.46 
+0.07% 
Hold 
Accuracy, %* 
99.21 
99.40 
98.93 
99.49 
99.26 


2. If you click "Weekly (2 months prediction)"
Each next row corresponds to one week ahead plus. For example: 3/07/2005… means
week March 7 to March 11; 3/14/2005 … means week March 14 to March 18 and … up
to 4/25/2005… means week April 25 to April 29.
3. If you click "Monthly (6 months prediction)"
Each next row corresponds to one month ahead plus.
You can view the actual historical database for companies of your
chose. The databases available in Tables and Graphics are contained up to 400
days from "today".
