Stock-Forecasting.com is an accurate predictor of stock price movement from one to ten days in advance
 
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Symbol Actual Forecast Accuracy
Nasdaq compositive index
COMPQ 2140.29 2141.49 99.94%
S & P 500 Index
SPX 1295.09 1297.93 99.78%
Applied Materials
AMAT 16.13 16.10 99.83%
Diamonds
DIA 112.84 113.09 99.78%
International Bus. Machines
IBM 79.88 79.68 99.75%
Motorola Inc.
MOT 22.74 22.51 99.00%
Microsoft Corp.
MSFT 25.85 25.71 99.45%
NASDAQ 100 Trust
QQQQ 38.32 38.58 99.33%
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Stock Forecasting Method

It is a dream idea for every investor to find the company with highest profit in return and predict the stocks price movement.

The Stock-Forecasting software uses state-of-the-art newly invented mathematical formulas based on the idea of digital filtration and spectral analysis of the "discontinuous" historical stocks data with the final decompression of company trend from market noise.

The Stock-Forecasting software allows a computer to attain information from a historical set of data (high, low, open, close, and volume), find a mathematical pattern, generated "Buy-Hold-Sell" and formulate future stock behavior for a time-frame period from 10 business days in advance and up to 6 months ahead.

The goal of this site is to maintain a high forecasting accuracy prediction.

 
What is Forecasting Accuracy

FORECASTING ACCURACY is an actual accumulated record of statistical difference of the forecasting price on a trade and the actual fill price. For example if the actual price on the trade was a $20 and forecasting $20.50. The ACCURACY calculates as 100–abs(20-20.50)/20, and will be equal 97.5%.

ACCURACY is calculated for open, close, low, high and average quotes, for every day of trade, going back 50 days (weeks) from the last day of trade, to the same trading day of the actual historical quotes. Average "AVG ACCURACY" is a statistical average value of daily accumulated accuracy numbers.

Any user needs some indication of forecasting accuracy that can be used, without confusion, for determining how much reliance can be placed in the current forecast.

It is not possible to make the forecasting accuracy number appear better than it actually is. To achieve a high forecasting accuracy, we use an adaptive optimization of forecasting system, which responds and adapts to rapidly changing financial market conditions.

Go to the Testing and Comparison chapter to learn how you can test our software.

 
Example

How you can read the forecasting Tables and Graphics? For instance, you pick the company XYZ and press "FORECAST". What you will see on the screen and how you can interpret the results.

Forecasting Tables.

As a result you receive a table which contains predicted data in a specified interval. There are seven columns, including the prediction date and predicted values of the open, close, low, and high price. In addition each table contains on "Average" column which is the predicted average price for the day: (Open + Close + Low + High) / 4 and "Vector" column. Each raw show quote: "OPEN, CLOSE, LOW, HIGH, AVERAGE and Vector" accordingly with day (week or month) of the forecasting. The last row shows ACCURACY for open, close, low and average quotes.

Vector’s column calculates change of Forecasting Average Price relatively to "today" actual price. This column shows expected average price movement "Up or Down", in percents. The column’s forecast can estimate of your "Chance of Gains" (making money) or "Chance of Trouble" (loss) over each of the target price timeframes for 10 days, 2, or 6 months of predictions.

Strategy Column. Buy, Hold or Sell decision is based on mathematically predicted turning points (relative minimum or maximum value of stock quotes vs. time).

Forecasting Graphics.

You will see a graph where the actual quotes for the last 10 days, starting from today, will be in BLUE color, predicted quotes for the same 10 historical days in BROWN and the forecasting quotes for the next, starting from today, 10 days in RED color.

Every single day on the graphic shows: open, close, low and high quotes. The HIGH value is the maximum point on the vertical line. The LOW value is the minimum point. The CLOSE and OPEN value is shown on the graph in vertical rectangle. If it's shaded then the OPEN price is higher then CLOSING. On the other hand, if it's not shaded then the CLOSING price is higher then the OPENING price.

The visual comparison between the actual (blue) and predicted (brown) quotes for the 10 last days beginning from today can ensure the accuracy of forecasting.

For example. Forecasted data. MSFT:
(Note: The results below are only a DEMO!)

1. If you click "Daily (10 days prediction)"

Each next row corresponds to one day ahead plus. For example: 03/08/2005 + 1 means Wednesday, March 9; 03/08/2005 + 2 means Thursday, March 10 and … up to 03.02.2005 + 10 means Tuesday, March 22.

Date Open Close Low High Average Vector** Strategy***
3/8/2005 + 1 25.34 25.43 25.29 25.66 25.43 -0.04% Buy
3/8/2005 + 2 25.52 25.63 25.32 25.70 25.54 +0.40% Hold
3/8/2005 + 3 25.53 25.69 25.32 25.75 25.57 +0.53% Sell
3/8/2005 + 4 25.56 25.62 25.46 25.74 25.59 +0.59% Hold
3/8/2005 + 5 25.53 25.56 25.39 25.89 25.60 +0.61% Hold
3/8/2005 + 6 25.51 25.58 25.34 25.88 25.58 +0.54% Hold
3/8/2005 + 7 25.46 25.52 25.25 25.88 25.53 +0.34% Buy
3/8/2005 + 8 25.52 25.59 25.27 25.89 25.56 +0.49% Sell
3/8/2005 + 9 25.55 25.41 25.25 25.87 25.52 +0.31% Hold
3/8/2005 + 10 25.49 25.44 25.14 25.76 25.46 +0.07% Hold
Accuracy, %* 99.21 99.40 98.93 99.49 99.26  

2. If you click "Weekly (2 months prediction)"

Each next row corresponds to one week ahead plus. For example: 3/07/2005… means week March 7 to March 11; 3/14/2005 … means week March 14 to March 18 and … up to 4/25/2005… means week April 25 to April 29.

3. If you click "Monthly (6 months prediction)"

Each next row corresponds to one month ahead plus.

Data Source Tables and Graphics.

You can view the actual historical database for companies of your chose. The databases available in Tables and Graphics are contained up to 400 days from "today".